Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 8.890804 10.212588 11.685163 13.451190 15.516666 17.861939 20.735193
2025-02-02 7.229843 8.949339 11.029253 13.744860 17.218036 21.539363 27.366860
2025-02-09 6.351594 8.301402 10.806320 14.289961 19.056011 25.415452 34.656033
2025-02-16 5.421844 7.391656 10.044079 13.921323 19.518872 27.421425 39.627004
2025-02-23 4.792948 6.775078 9.554396 13.797005 20.217850 29.747343 45.292996
2025-03-02 4.291445 6.261796 9.124896 13.666730 20.836707 31.968985 51.057492
2025-03-09 3.859051 5.792021 8.691603 13.453027 21.262302 33.896371 56.577299
2025-03-16 3.472499 5.345421 8.236519 13.134917 21.453453 35.429334 61.608026
2025-03-23 3.331182 5.262871 8.333916 13.708723 23.173817 39.719354 72.137808
2025-03-30 3.127096 5.056052 8.204575 13.877893 24.201999 42.912342 81.117798
2025-04-06 2.902259 4.791751 7.950416 13.795283 24.756598 45.294498 88.873353
2025-04-13 2.690155 4.528616 7.671014 13.632020 25.131813 47.367543 96.305230
2025-04-20 2.596564 4.465666 7.739907 14.124900 26.838156 52.305491 110.724304
2025-04-27 2.482300 4.355211 7.712343 14.431027 28.214111 56.768753 124.918618
2025-05-04 2.413871 4.320856 7.818992 15.006012 30.204379 62.793175 143.816457
2025-05-11 2.229257 4.054186 7.463768 14.616925 30.116073 64.283575 152.095828
2025-05-18 2.093157 3.868071 7.246278 14.485731 30.565691 67.034498 164.021705
2025-05-25 1.968656 3.694055 7.036869 14.348259 30.981585 69.759378 176.390016
2025-06-01 1.845680 3.513236 6.798264 14.122766 31.167538 71.958620 187.764852
2025-06-08 1.722122 3.321809 6.522255 13.787144 31.054990 73.408812 197.334981
2025-06-15 1.698474 3.331000 6.661084 14.392572 33.267860 81.033073 226.288457
2025-06-22 1.636518 3.256033 6.615749 14.571091 34.454113 86.174183 248.934973
2025-06-29 1.556004 3.135993 6.463650 14.483913 34.958845 89.566684 266.874786